Selected outcome
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mohammed bin Salman
Will Mohammed bin Salman leave Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?
14%
Open · ~$287 24h · ~$19k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
- Pedro Sánchez
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?
16%
Open · ~$225 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
- Benjamin Netanyahu
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
38%
Open · ~$219 24h · ~$212k vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 38¢
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?
9%
Open · ~$148 24h · ~$10k vol
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Kim Jong Un
Will Kim Jong Un leave Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$122 24h · ~$2,477 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- Emmanuel Macron
Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$81 24h · ~$9,118 vol
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 9¢
- Friedrich Merz
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$67 24h · ~$6,520 vol
Bid 6.4¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Vladimir Putin
Will Vladimir Putin leave President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$36k vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 4.6¢
- Miguel Díaz-Canel
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
13%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$90k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
- Mette Frederiksen
Will Mette Frederiksen leave Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$816 vol
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Giorgia Meloni
Will Giorgia Meloni leave Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$335 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 4¢
- Javier Milei
Will Javier Milei leave President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- Edi Rama
Will Edi Rama leave Prime Minister of Albania before Jan 1, 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
- Sébastien Lecornu
Will Sébastien Lecornu leave Prime Minister of France before Jan 1, 2027?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$405 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 22¢
- Ramzan Kadyrov
Will Ramzan Kadyrov leave Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$422 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
- Delcy Rodriguez
Will Delcy Rodriguez leave Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,333 vol
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Frederik X
Will Frederik X leave King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.2¢
- Irfaan Ali
Will Irfaan Ali leave President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Jens-Frederik Nielsen
Will Jens-Frederik Nielsen leave Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$474 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 5¢
- Félix Tshisekedi
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Denis Sassou Nguesso
Will Denis Sassou Nguesso leave President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 5.4¢
- Ahmad al-Sharaa
Will Ahmad al-Sharaa leave President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$888 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Cyril Ramaphosa
Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$949 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 6.5¢
- Claudia Sheinbaum
Will Claudia Sheinbaum leave President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,754 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 3.6¢
- Daniel Noboa
Will Daniel Noboa leave President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- Lee Jae Myung
Will Lee Jae Myung leave President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$505 vol
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leave President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,198 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Mark Carney
Will Mark Carney leave Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$648 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.1¢
- Nayib Bukele
Will Nayib Bukele leave President of El Salvador before Jan 1, 2027?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.8¢
- Narendra Modi
Will Narendra Modi leave Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$378 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- Christopher Luxon
Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,822 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 50¢
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan leave President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$837 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira leave President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$331 vol
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 9.6¢
- Sanae Takaichi
Will Sanae Takaichi leave Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,539 vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 4.5¢
- Xi Jinping
Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15k vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Brazil or has actually left President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.