Selected outcome
Meta
85%
Meta · 85%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Meta's top model has a higher Arena Score than OpenAI's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.