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Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Openone winner

On Dec 31, 2026

Selected outcome

OpenAI

16%

OpenAI · 16%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • OpenAI

    Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?

    16%

    Open · ~$3 24h · ~$1,207 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Meta

    Will Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,800 vol

    Bid 82¢ · Ask 88¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$3
Volume
~$5,007
Liquidity
—
Open int.
6,653 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If OpenAI's top model has a higher Arena Score than Meta's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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