Selected outcome
At least 16
6%
At least 16 · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 10
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?
17%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$912 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 9
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 12
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 14
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 14 in Oct 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 16
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 16 in Oct 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 20
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 20 in Oct 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 25
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 25 in Oct 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 16 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.