Selected outcome
At least 9
31%
At least 9 · 31%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 10
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?
17%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$912 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 9
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 12
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 14
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 14 in Oct 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 16
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 16 in Oct 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 20
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 20 in Oct 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 25
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 25 in Oct 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 9 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.