Arkansas Governor margin of victory

Open

Arkansas Governor

Selected outcome

Sanders, 16+ pts

wide spread 47–58%

54%

Sanders, 16+ pts · 54%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Sanders, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 98.8¢
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Sanders, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.1¢
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Sanders, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$212 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
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Sanders, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 13 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$631 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 69¢
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Sanders, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 47–58%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 58¢
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Sanders, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 19 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$314 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 39¢
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Sanders, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$102 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
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Sanders, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
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Sanders, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 28 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$538 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.2¢
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Sanders, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 31 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.6¢
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Sanders, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 34 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.3¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$2,535
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 3,065 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arkansas by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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