Selected outcome
Sanders, 7+ pts
wide spread 87–98%
Sanders, 7+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Sanders, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Sanders, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Sanders, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$212 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Sanders, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 13 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$631 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 69¢
- Sanders, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 47–58%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 58¢
- Sanders, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 19 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$314 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 39¢
- Sanders, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$102 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Sanders, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Sanders, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 28 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$538 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.2¢
- Sanders, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 31 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Sanders, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 34 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arkansas by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.