Selected outcome
Shah, 8+ pts
wide spread 29–40%
36%
Shah, 8+ pts · 36%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Shah, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Shah, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$233 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Shah, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.8¢ · Ask 16¢
- Shah, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Shah, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,679 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Shah, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,753 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Shah, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,000 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.