Selected outcome
Crane, 19+ pts
last
6%
Crane, 19+ pts · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Crane, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$123 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 77¢
- Crane, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$180 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Crane, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 21¢
- Crane, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Crane, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 9.6¢
- Crane, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$222 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Crane, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$415 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 2nd District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.