Selected outcome
Crane, 4+ pts
wide spread 50–62%
50%
Crane, 4+ pts · 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Crane, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$123 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 77¢
- Crane, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$180 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Crane, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 21¢
- Crane, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Crane, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 9.6¢
- Crane, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$222 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Crane, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$415 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 2nd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.