Selected outcome
Lamb, 20+ pts
wide spread 6–17%
Lamb, 20+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lamb, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Lamb, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Lamb, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Lamb, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$228 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Lamb, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.5¢ · Ask 17¢
- Lamb, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$240 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Lamb, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
last
Ask 8.7¢
- Lamb, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 68–79%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢
- Lamb, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 5th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.