Selected outcome
Lamb, 8+ pts
wide spread 53–65%
Lamb, 8+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lamb, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Lamb, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Lamb, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Lamb, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$228 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Lamb, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.5¢ · Ask 17¢
- Lamb, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$240 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Lamb, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
last
Ask 8.7¢
- Lamb, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 68–79%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢
- Lamb, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 5th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.