Selected outcome
Hamadeh, 21+ pts
5%
Hamadeh, 21+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hamadeh, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Hamadeh, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$315 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Hamadeh, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$210 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
- Hamadeh, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Hamadeh, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$389 vol
Ask 7.5¢
- Hamadeh, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,664 vol
wide spread 74–85%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 85¢
- Hamadeh, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$860 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Hamadeh, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 8th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.