Selected outcome
Hamadeh, 9+ pts
wide spread 41–53%
46%
Hamadeh, 9+ pts · 46%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hamadeh, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Hamadeh, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$315 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Hamadeh, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$210 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
- Hamadeh, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Hamadeh, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$389 vol
Ask 7.5¢
- Hamadeh, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,664 vol
wide spread 74–85%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 85¢
- Hamadeh, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$860 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Hamadeh, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 8th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.