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California's 1st District margin of victory

Open

California's 1st District

Selected outcome

McGuire, 11+ pts

wide spread 68–80%

McGuire, 11+ pts

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • McGuire, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 68–80%

    Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 55–67%

    Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 40–52%

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?

    34%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$102 vol

    wide spread 27–39%

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 14–26%

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 26+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 4–16%

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 29+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 86–98%

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • McGuire, 8+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 79–90%

    Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$102
Liquidity
—
Open int.
200 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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