Selected outcome
Bera, 11+ pts
wide spread 87–98%
Bera, 11+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bera, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Bera, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 15¢
- Bera, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Bera, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.8¢
- Bera, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Bera, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Bera, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 48–59%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 59¢
- Bera, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Bera, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- Bera, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Bera, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 3rd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.