Selected outcome
Bera, 5+ pts
95%
Bera, 5+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bera, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Bera, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 15¢
- Bera, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Bera, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.8¢
- Bera, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Bera, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Bera, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 48–59%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 59¢
- Bera, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Bera, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- Bera, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Bera, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 3rd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.