Selected outcome
McClintock, 27+ pts
5%
McClintock, 27+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McClintock, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- McClintock, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- McClintock, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- McClintock, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 7.5¢ · Ask 14¢
- McClintock, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- McClintock, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.7¢
- McClintock, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.9¢
- McClintock, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- McClintock, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 5th District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.