Selected outcome
McClintock, 3+ pts
wide spread 82–94%
McClintock, 3+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McClintock, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- McClintock, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- McClintock, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- McClintock, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 7.5¢ · Ask 14¢
- McClintock, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- McClintock, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.7¢
- McClintock, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.9¢
- McClintock, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- McClintock, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.