Selected outcome
Gray, 15+ pts
wide spread 46–58%
57%
Gray, 15+ pts · 57%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Gray, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$44 24h · ~$95 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- Gray, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Gray, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$228 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Gray, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Gray, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Gray, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Gray, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Gray, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.2¢
- Gray, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 13th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.