Selected outcome
Gray, 3+ pts
94%
Gray, 3+ pts · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Gray, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$44 24h · ~$95 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- Gray, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Gray, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$228 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Gray, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Gray, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Gray, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Gray, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Gray, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.2¢
- Gray, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 13th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 13th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.