Selected outcome
Villegas, 1+ pts
wide spread 79–91%
Villegas, 1+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Villegas, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.9¢
- Villegas, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$388 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- Villegas, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Villegas, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Villegas, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 13¢
- Villegas, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Villegas, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 22nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.