Selected outcome
Villegas, 10+ pts
wide spread 31–42%
40%
Villegas, 10+ pts · 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Villegas, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.9¢
- Villegas, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$388 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- Villegas, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Villegas, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Villegas, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 13¢
- Villegas, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Villegas, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 22nd District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.