Selected outcome
Ruiz, 18+ pts
wide spread 55–67%
Ruiz, 18+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ruiz, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.7¢
- Ruiz, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$272 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Ruiz, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Ruiz, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Ruiz, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Ruiz, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Ruiz, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Ruiz, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Ruiz, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 25th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.