Selected outcome
Ruiz, 9+ pts
wide spread 87–98%
Ruiz, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ruiz, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.7¢
- Ruiz, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$272 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Ruiz, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Ruiz, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Ruiz, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Ruiz, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Ruiz, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Ruiz, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Ruiz, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 25th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 25th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.