Selected outcome
Solis, 42+ pts
4%
Solis, 42+ pts · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Solis, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Solis, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.4¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Solis, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.5¢
- Solis, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Solis, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Solis, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$184 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Solis, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Solis, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Solis, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.5¢ · Ask 19¢
- Solis, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Solis, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.5¢
- Solis, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 38th District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.