Selected outcome
Solis, 9+ pts
95%
Solis, 9+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Solis, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Solis, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.4¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Solis, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.5¢
- Solis, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Solis, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Solis, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$184 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Solis, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Solis, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Solis, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.5¢ · Ask 19¢
- Solis, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Solis, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.5¢
- Solis, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 38th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.