Selected outcome
Takano, 33+ pts
wide spread 2–14%
Takano, 33+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Takano, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.3¢
- Takano, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Takano, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Takano, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Takano, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Takano, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Takano, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Takano, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Takano, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
- Takano, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.5¢
- Takano, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 39th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.