Selected outcome
Takano, 9+ pts
94%
Takano, 9+ pts · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Takano, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.3¢
- Takano, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Takano, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Takano, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Takano, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Takano, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Takano, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Takano, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Takano, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
- Takano, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.5¢
- Takano, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 39th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 39th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.