Selected outcome
Min, 21+ pts
wide spread 34–46%
Min, 21+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Min, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Min, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Min, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Min, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Min, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Min, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Min, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 15¢
- Min, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Min, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 47th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.