Selected outcome
Min, 9+ pts
wide spread 82–93%
Min, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Min, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Min, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Min, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Min, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Min, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Min, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Min, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 15¢
- Min, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Min, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 47th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 47th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.