Selected outcome
Wilpert, 21+ pts
wide spread 5–17%
12%
Wilpert, 21+ pts · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Wilpert, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$45 24h · ~$66 vol
wide spread 54–65%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 65¢
- Wilpert, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$220 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Wilpert, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Wilpert, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Wilpert, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 17¢
- Wilpert, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Wilpert, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 48th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.