Selected outcome
Wilpert, 6+ pts
wide spread 68–80%
Wilpert, 6+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Wilpert, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$45 24h · ~$66 vol
wide spread 54–65%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 65¢
- Wilpert, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$220 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Wilpert, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Wilpert, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Wilpert, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 17¢
- Wilpert, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Wilpert, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 48th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.