Selected outcome
Hayes, 15+ pts
60%
Hayes, 15+ pts · 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hayes, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,428 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 73¢
- Hayes, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$958 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 62¢
- Hayes, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$981 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 47¢
- Hayes, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$941 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 30¢
- Hayes, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$544 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 27¢
- Hayes, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$465 vol
Bid 4.5¢ · Ask 9¢
- Hayes, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,665 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Hayes, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,229 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Hayes, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,601 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 83¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.