Selected outcome
Hayes, 6+ pts
90%
Hayes, 6+ pts · 90%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hayes, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,428 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 73¢
- Hayes, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$958 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 62¢
- Hayes, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$981 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 47¢
- Hayes, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$941 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 30¢
- Hayes, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$544 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 27¢
- Hayes, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$465 vol
Bid 4.5¢ · Ask 9¢
- Hayes, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,665 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Hayes, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,229 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Hayes, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,601 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 83¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.