Selected outcome
Rutherford, 20+ pts
wide spread 12–24%
Rutherford, 20+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rutherford, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Rutherford, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- Rutherford, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Rutherford, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Rutherford, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 15¢
- Rutherford, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.9¢
- Rutherford, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.4¢
- Rutherford, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 84¢
- Rutherford, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 76¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 5th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.