Selected outcome
Rutherford, 8+ pts
72%
Rutherford, 8+ pts · 72%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rutherford, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Rutherford, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- Rutherford, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Rutherford, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Rutherford, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 15¢
- Rutherford, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.9¢
- Rutherford, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.4¢
- Rutherford, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 84¢
- Rutherford, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 76¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 5th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.