Selected outcome
Castor, 14+ pts
8%
Castor, 14+ pts · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Castor, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Castor, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Castor, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 15¢
- Castor, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Castor, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Castor, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- Castor, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Castor, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Ask 5.4¢
- Castor, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Ask 4.9¢
- Castor, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Ask 4.6¢
- Castor, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$618 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 14th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.