Selected outcome
Castor, 5+ pts
wide spread 32–44%
Castor, 5+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Castor, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Castor, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Castor, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 15¢
- Castor, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Castor, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Castor, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- Castor, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Castor, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Ask 5.4¢
- Castor, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Ask 4.9¢
- Castor, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Ask 4.6¢
- Castor, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$618 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 14th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.