Selected outcome
Lee, 1+ pts
wide spread 86–97%
Lee, 1+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lee, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 16¢
- Lee, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.4¢
- Lee, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$634 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Lee, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Lee, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Lee, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- Lee, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$324 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Lee, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,321 vol
wide spread 68–79%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 15th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.