Selected outcome
Lee, 16+ pts
wide spread 25–37%
Lee, 16+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lee, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 16¢
- Lee, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.4¢
- Lee, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$634 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Lee, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Lee, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Lee, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- Lee, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$324 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Lee, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,321 vol
wide spread 68–79%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 15th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.