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Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Open

Hawaii Governor

Selected outcome

Green, 35+ pts

wide spread 45–56%

49%

Green, 35+ pts · 49%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Green, 41+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 41 percentage points?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol

    wide spread 12–24%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 44+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 44 percentage points?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol

    wide spread 1–13%

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 14 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 94¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 17 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    Bid 95.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 20 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 92.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 23 percentage points?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$300 vol

    Bid 90.4¢ · Ask 99.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 26+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 26 percentage points?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 95.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 29+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 29 percentage points?

    83%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol

    wide spread 75–86%

    Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 32+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 32 percentage points?

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$413 vol

    wide spread 61–73%

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 35+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 35 percentage points?

    49%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$278 vol

    wide spread 45–56%

    Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢

    Open full market view →
  • Green, 38+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 38 percentage points?

    38%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,251
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,918 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hawaii by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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