Selected outcome
Green, 44+ pts
wide spread 1–13%
10%
Green, 44+ pts · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Green, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 41 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Green, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 44 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- Green, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- Green, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 95.4¢
- Green, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.8¢
- Green, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 23 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$300 vol
Bid 90.4¢ · Ask 99.6¢
- Green, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 26 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 95.5¢
- Green, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 29 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Green, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 32 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$413 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Green, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 35 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$278 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- Green, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Hawaii be at least 38 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 40¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hawaii by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.