Selected outcome
Bohannan, 15+ pts
17%
Bohannan, 15+ pts · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bohannan, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 17¢
- Bohannan, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 35¢
- Bohannan, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$297 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 20¢
- Bohannan, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$392 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 85¢
- Bohannan, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$754 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Bohannan, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$127 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 1st District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.