Selected outcome
Bohannan, 9+ pts
wide spread 43–55%
Bohannan, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bohannan, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 17¢
- Bohannan, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 35¢
- Bohannan, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$297 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 20¢
- Bohannan, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$392 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 85¢
- Bohannan, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$754 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Bohannan, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$127 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 1st District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.