Selected outcome
James, 10+ pts
14%
James, 10+ pts · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- James, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,032 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- James, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$149 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- James, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$818 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- James, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$260 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 29¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 2nd District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.