Selected outcome
James, 7+ pts
26%
James, 7+ pts · 26%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- James, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,032 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- James, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$149 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- James, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$818 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- James, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$260 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 29¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 2nd District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.