Selected outcome
Mitchell, 1+ pts
wide spread 28–40%
Mitchell, 1+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Mitchell, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Mitchell, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.4¢
- Mitchell, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Ask 7.5¢
- Mitchell, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$193 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Mitchell, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 19¢
- Mitchell, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.