Selected outcome
Mitchell, 14+ pts
Mitchell, 14+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Mitchell, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Mitchell, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.4¢
- Mitchell, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Ask 7.5¢
- Mitchell, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$193 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Mitchell, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 19¢
- Mitchell, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 2nd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.