Selected outcome
Garriott, 14+ pts
wide spread 4–15%
10%
Garriott, 14+ pts · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Garriott, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$242 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Garriott, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$157 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 15¢
- Garriott, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,227 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 79¢
- Garriott, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$305 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Garriott, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.